In an astonishing turn of events, Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $100,000 a little over two years after the infamous FTX collapse, when it plummeted to roughly $15,500. The initial aftermath left the market in a state of extreme fear, casting doubt on its recovery. Fast forward to today, and Bitcoin's resurgence coincides with a new U.S. administration led by President Donald Trump, who has yet to unveil his stance on cryptocurrency regulation. BTC can reach as high as $1.7 by the end of this year, analysts think.
The discourse surrounding Bitcoin often involves the analysis of its four-year cycle, driven by the halving program that reduces supply periodically. Historically, significant price increases follow the halving event. In this cycle, Bitcoin's price has risen approximately 550% from the lows witnessed during the FTX debacle, emulating trends observed in previous cycles. Notably, between 2015 and 2018, Bitcoin demonstrated similar recovery patterns.
Analyzing Glassnode data reveals that today's progress is comparable to past cycles.
The 2018 to 2022 cycle illustrated even larger gains, with Bitcoin appreciating 1,300% during a similar timeframe. If current trends persist and mirror the 2015 to 2018 cycle, Bitcoin could achieve an 1,100% gain by the first quarter of 2025, pushing its value to about $186,000. The apex might arrive around October, potentially elevating Bitcoin's worth to $1.7 million.
Another perspective suggests comparing Bitcoin's trajectory with U.S. presidential terms. Notably, Bitcoin's value increased 20-fold during Trump's initial presidency. A conservative forecast of a 10-fold increase from current levels could see Bitcoin reaching approximately $1 million.
The interplay between Bitcoin's cyclical behaviors and broader economic indicators remains a subject of keen interest for investors and analysts alike, posing both opportunities and challenges in the evolving cryptocurrency landscape.